Sunday, September 9, 2012

Week 1 Picks

The first edition of my weekly 2012 NFL picks post is finally here. My thoughts for Week 1:

Atlanta (-2.5) over KANSAS CITY

This was probably the pick, but now Brandon Flowers, the Chiefs best CB, is out for the game. Expect a huge day for Julio Jones as a result.

Philadelphia (-10) over CLEVELAND

The Eagles will try to make the disappointment of last year's "Dream Team" just a memory. Too much offense for the Eagles here.

CHICAGO (-9.5) over Indianapolis

If it wasn't the Bears and that pass rush, I'd think the Colts stood a chance. However, Julius Peppers will get to meet Andrew Luck and Cutler-to-Marshall will reignite from their days in Denver.

New England (-5.5) over TENNESSEE

Why are the Pats only giving five and a half? I know the Titans are home, but the Pats should be better defensively and they still have Tom Brady. Figure a two touchdown win.

Washington (+9) over NEW ORLEANS

You're not seeing all the teams with big spreads winning. The RGIII Era starts with a bang as the Redskins will beat the Saints under their interim interim coach.

MINNESOTA (-3.5) over Jacksonville

Vikings are home and Adrian Peterson's active. That's enough for me to pick them today.

Buffalo (+3) over JETS

Everyone's prepared for the Sanchez/Tebow partnership to fall on its face. The Bills seem to be thought of as bad, then a suprise playoff team to overrated. Bills show us that they are a potential playoff team today.

DETROIT (-9) over St. Louis

Jeff Fisher won't change the culture in one game. Student beats teacher as Jim Schwartz should be victorious. Can't wait for plenty of touchdowns by Megatron

HOUSTON (-13) over Miami

I think the Texans are the team to beat in the AFC, especially if Matt Schaub is healthy again. This Texans defense will love to see Ryan Tannehill and that Dolphins offense on the field.

Seattle (-2.5) over ARIZONA

Everyone seems to love Russell Wilson. I don't love the John Skelton/Kevin Kolb QB tandem with the Cardinals. Sorry, Larry Fitzgerald

Carolina (-1) over  TAMPA BAY

I'll buy more into Cam Newton starting again like he did last year, only this time, the Panthers get the W. I still think Greg Schiano will flame out at some point. Time for him to prove me wrong

GREEN BAY (-5) over San Francisco

So Alex Smith, the guy the 49ers chose vs Aaron Rodgers, the guy the 49ers passed on in the 2005 NFL Draft. I see the Packers defense today come up huge and show they are an improved outfit for this season.

Pittsburgh (+1) over DENVER

Are we really supposed to believe that Peyton Manning in his first game back in almost 20 months can beat the Steelers, even if this Pittsburgh side isn't as good as others in years past? Especially when the Broncos aren't that good in other areas.

Cincinnati (+7) over BALTIMORE

Second biggest upset this weekend. Just enough A.J. Green and too many people anointing Joe Flacco as ready to make a leap allows for a surprise opener.

OAKLAND (-1) over San Diego

I really don't know what to think of either team. Chargers always start slow, Raiders are capable of anything. Going with the home team.

Season Record: 0-1

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